master's thesis
Model for prediction of new broadband Internet users

Kristijan Kordić (2015)
Metadata
TitleModeli za predviđanje broja korisnika novih širokopojasnih internetskih usluga
AuthorKristijan Kordić
Mentor(s)Drago Žagar (thesis advisor)
Višnja Križanović Čik (thesis advisor)
Abstract
Glavni zadatak ovoga rada bio je utvrđivanje trenutnog stanja na telekomunikacijskom tržištu analizom dostupnih podataka te predvidjeti zanimanje korisnika za nove širokopojasne internet usluge pomoću modela za predviđanje. U radu je ukratko opisano predviđanje u telekomunikacijama te napravljen pregled postojećih kvalitativnih i kvantitativnih metoda. Nadalje, opisani su modeli difuzije i prihvaćanja koji se koriste pri predviđanju prihvaćanja novih telekomunikacijskih usluga. Grafički su prikazane usporedbe tih modela nad prikupljenim podatcima za različita razdoblja, modele, države i početne uvjete. Za modeliranje i predviđanje rasta novih usluga na telekomunikacijskom tržištu, Gompertzov model se u ovom radu pokazao kao najučinkovitiji.
Keywordsforecasting new telecommunications services qualitative and quantitative forecasting methods models of diffusion and adoption model comparison Matlab
Parallel title (English)Model for prediction of new broadband Internet users
Committee MembersDrago Žagar (committee chairperson)
Krešimir Grgić (committee member)
Višnja Križanović Čik (committee member)
GranterSveučilište Josipa Jurja Strossmayera u Osijeku
Fakultet elektrotehnike, računarstva i informacijskih tehnologija Osijek
Lower level organizational unitsZavod za komunikacije
Katedra za radiokomunikacije i telekomunikacije
PlaceOsijek
StateCroatia
Scientific field, discipline, subdisciplineTECHNICAL SCIENCES
Computing
Process Computing
Study programme typeuniversity
Study levelgraduate
Study programmeGraduate University Study Programme in Computer Engineering
Academic title abbreviationmag.ing.comp.
Genremaster's thesis
Language Croatian
Defense date2015-10-07
Parallel abstract (English)
The main purpose of this thesis is to ascertain the current state on the telecommunications market and to do so by analyzing the available data. Furthermore the goal was to forecast the consumers' interest in the broadband Internet services with the help of forecasting models. This thesis describes telecommunications forecasting in short and gives an overview of the existing qualitative and quantitative methods. Moreover, there is a description of diffusion and adoption models which are used in forecasting adoption of new telecommunications services. Graphical comparisons of these models are based on the data obtained for different periods, models, countries, and initial conditions. In the course of writing this thesis, the Gompertz model proved to be the most effective for modelling and forecasting the growth of new services on the telecommunications market.
Parallel keywords (Croatian)predviđanje nove telekomunikacijske usluge kvalitativne i kvantitativne metode predviđanja modeli difuzije i prihvaćanja usporedba modela Matlab
Resource typetext
Access conditionOpen access
Terms of usehttp://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/
URN:NBNhttps://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:200:431532
CommitterAnka Ovničević